Total Vol$73,770
Final Feb 16, 2026
Final Feb 16, 2026
15 Outcomes
Resolved
The 2026 CMG New Year's Gala is scheduled to be broadcasted live on the eve of Chinese New Year, February 16, 2026 (Beijing Time).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The exact phonetical pronunciation will be the main factor to determine if a term is mentioned. For example if someone in the livestream intends to mention "马道成功", it will count toward the resolution of the "马到成功" market. However, if someone in the livestream intends to mention "马刀成功“，it will not count toward the resolution of the "马到成功" market.
Any usage of the exact term, regardless of context, will count. A Q&A segment, advertisement, product promotion, speech from the audience, skit, song introduction, or any spoken part will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the audio of the live broadcast on CCTV-1 (or the primary domestic CMG channel). Only spoken words from the official domestic feed count; subtitles, on-screen graphics, international dubbed/voiced versions, or post-broadcast edits do not qualify.
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