Pasar Prediksi Politik

Keseimbangan Kekuasaan: Pemilu Sela 2026

Imbal Hasil

Sapu Bersih Demokrat

63%

Senat D, DPR R

1%

Senat R, DPR D

29%

Sapu Bersih Republikan

9%

Lainnya

1%

$11.7M Vol

Nov 3 @ 00:00

Pemilihan Presiden Brasil

Imbal Hasil

Flávio Bolsonaro

88%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

13%

$10.1M Vol

Okt 26 @ 06:00

Kandidat Calon Presiden Partai Demokrat 2028

Imbal Hasil

Raphael Warnock

76.9%

Stephen A. Smith

76.9%

Oprah Winfrey

30%

John Fetterman

30%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%

Gavin Newsom

17%

Andy Beshear

12%

Kamala Harris

8%

Josh Shapiro

7%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Pete Buttigieg

6%

Alex Padilla

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Michelle Obama

4%

James Talarico

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Wes Moore

2%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

Cory Booker

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Mark Cuban

2%

Abigail Spanberger

1%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

George Clooney

0.2%

Zohran Mamdani

0.2%

Rahm Emanuel

0.2%

$1.9M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 00:00

Berapa kali pemotongan suku bunga Fed pada 2026?

Imbal Hasil

0 (0 bps)

96%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

3%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$21.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 05:00

Partai mana yang akan memenangkan Senat pada 2026?

Imbal Hasil

Partai Demokrat

63%

Partai Republik

37%

$624K Vol

Nov 3 @ 00:00

Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden 2028

Imbal Hasil

James Talarico

67.9%

Ron DeSantis

49.8%

Andy Beshear

31.8%

Tucker Carlson

31.1%

Elon Musk

30.2%

Thomas Massie

30%

JD Vance

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Jon Ossoff

12%

Marco Rubio

11%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Jamie Dimon

9%

Jalen Brunson

7%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

6%

Kamala Harris

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

Pete Hegseth

4%

Eric Trump

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Donald Trump

2%

Ivanka Trump

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

Ro Khanna

0.2%

LeBron James

0.2%

Tim Walz

0.2%

Nikki Haley

0.2%

Donald Trump Jr.

0.2%

Stephen Smith

0.2%

Glenn Youngkin

0.2%

John N. Kennedy

0.2%

Tom Cotton

0.2%

Doug Burgum

0.2%

Mike Johnson

0.2%

Tim Scott

0.2%

Candace Owens

0.2%

Alex Padilla

0.2%

Josh Stein

0.2%

Adam Schiff

0.2%

Elissa Slotkin

0.2%

Abigail Spanberger

0.2%

$4.8M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 00:00

Pemilihan Presiden Prancis Berikutnya

Imbal Hasil

Marine Le Pen

41%

Fabien Roussel

30.9%

Sarah Knafo

30.4%

Gabriel Attal

29.1%

Édouard Philippe

23%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12%

Valérie Pécresse

5%

David Lisnard

4.9%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

Éric Zemmour

1%

François Baroin

0.1%

$1M Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 00:00

Apakah Trump dimakzulkan sebelum akhir 2026?

Imbal Hasil

3%

97%

$494K Vol

Des 31 @ 00:00

Apakah Reza Pahlavi akan memasuki Iran sebelum...?

Imbal Hasil

31 Desember

4%

$3.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 05:00

Pemimpin Venezuela pada akhir 2026?

Imbal Hasil

Nicolás Maduro

72%

Delcy Rodríguez

27%

Tidak Ada Kepala Negara

1%

Richard Grenell

1%

Dan Caine

1%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

1%

Marco Rubio

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Donald Trump

1%

Dinorah Figuera

1%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

1%

María Corina Machado

1%

Edmundo González

1%

$278K Vol

Des 31 @ 00:00

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California

Imbal Hasil

Xavier Becerra

96%

Steve Hilton

4%

Elaine Culotti

1%

Matt Mahan

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

Tom Steyer

1%

Eric Swalwell

1%

Nicole Shanahan

1%

Leo Zacky

1%

Michael Younger

1%

Tony Thurmond

1%

Daniel Mercuri

1%

Eleni Kounalakis

1%

Chad Bianco

1%

Kyle Langford

1%

Toni Atkins

1%

Betty Yee

1%

Butch Ware

1%

Stephen Cloobeck

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

1%

Katie Porter

1%

Alex Padilla

1%

Rick Caruso

1%

$7.2M Vol

Nov 3 @ 00:00

Partai mana yang akan memenangkan DPR pada 2026?

Imbal Hasil

Partai Demokrat

91%

Partai Republik

10%

$106K Vol

Nov 4 @ 04:59

Apakah Trump lengser sebagai Presiden sebelum 2027?

Imbal Hasil

4%

96%

$274K Vol

Des 31 @ 00:00

Clarity Act disahkan menjadi undang-undang pada 2026?

Imbal Hasil

5%

95%

$981K Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 05:00

Pemenang Pemilu Senat Michigan

Imbal Hasil

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

70%

Mike Rogers (R)

30%

$91,918 Vol

Nov 3 @ 05:00

Nomine Presiden Partai Republik 2028

Imbal Hasil

J.D. Vance

51%

Mike Pence

23.1%

Marco Rubio

16%

Rick Scott

6%

John N. Kennedy

6%

Eric Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Erika Kirk

3%

Tucker Carlson

3%

Elon Musk

3%

Ron DeSantis

3%

Donald Trump Jr.

3%

Tom Cotton

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Joe Kent

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

2%

Steve Bannon

2%

Rand Paul

2%

Tom Brady

2%

Kristi Noem

2%

John Thune

2%

Matt Gaetz

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Josh Hawley

2%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Byron Donalds

2%

Brian Kemp

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

Ivanka Trump

1%

Katie Britt

1%

Donald Trump

0.2%

$383K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 00:00