Mercados de previsão de Política

Eleição Presidencial do Brasil

Rendimento

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

55%

Flávio Bolsonaro

39%

Camilo Santana

2%

Renan Santos

2%

Romeu Zema

1%

Ronaldo Caiado

1%

Ratinho Júnior

1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

1%

Fernando Haddad

1%

Jair Bolsonaro

1%

Tarcísio de Freitas

1%

$8.5M Vol

out 26 @ 06:00

Candidato Presidencial Democrata de 2028

Rendimento

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

20%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Kamala Harris

9%

Mark Kelly

7%

Alex Padilla

6%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Michelle Obama

6%

Andy Beshear

6%

Josh Shapiro

6%

Rahm Emanuel

5%

Mark Cuban

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Stephen A. Smith

5%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

James Talarico

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Oprah Winfrey

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

John Fetterman

2%

Cory Booker

2%

Raphael Warnock

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

George Clooney

0.2%

$959K Vol

nov 7, 2028 @ 00:00

Quantos cortes na taxa do Fed em 2026?

Rendimento

0 (0 bps)

89%

1 (25 bps)

9%

2 (50 bps)

4%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$17.8M Vol

jan 1, 2027 @ 05:00

Qual partido vencerá o Senado em 2026?

Rendimento

Partido Democrata

50%

Partido Republicano

52%

$410K Vol

nov 3 @ 00:00

Vencedor do Prêmio Nobel da Paz 2026

Rendimento

Yulia Navalnaya

9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

5%

Corte Internacional de Justiça

5%

UNRWA

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

4%

Donald Trump

4%

Narendra Modi

3%

Mohammed bin Salman

3%

Charlie Kirk

3%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

3%

Xi Jinping

3%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

3%

Benjamin Netanyahu

3%

Vladimir Putin

3%

António Guterres

3%

Greta Thunberg

3%

Julian Assange

3%

Papa Leão XIV

3%

Khaled Mashal

2%

Elon Musk

2%

$406K Vol

out 10 @ 00:00

Vencedor da Eleição Presidencial de 2028

Rendimento

Thomas Massie

30.9%

JD Vance

26%

Jon Ossoff

12%

Marco Rubio

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

Jamie Dimon

10%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Ron DeSantis

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

4%

Kamala Harris

4%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

Tucker Carlson

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

3%

LeBron James

3%

Josh Shapiro

3%

Tom Cotton

3%

Alex Padilla

3%

Adam Schiff

3%

Donald Trump

2%

James Talarico

2%

Zohran Mamdani

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Stephen Smith

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Andy Beshear

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

John N. Kennedy

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Josh Stein

2%

Elissa Slotkin

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Mike Johnson

1%

Eric Trump

1%

Jalen Brunson

1%

Ro Khanna

0.2%

$2.1M Vol

nov 7, 2028 @ 00:00

Equilíbrio de Poder: Eleições de meio de mandato de 2026

Rendimento

Vitória dos Democratas

51%

Senado D, Câmara R

2%

Senado R, Câmara D

35%

Republicanos Vencem Tudo

11%

Outro

1%

$10.6M Vol

nov 3 @ 00:00

Próxima Eleição Presidencial Francesa

Rendimento

Marine Le Pen

36%

Gabriel Attal

33.2%

Sarah Knafo

31.2%

Édouard Philippe

29%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

15%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Valérie Pécresse

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Fabien Roussel

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

David Lisnard

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

François Baroin

0.1%

Éric Zemmour

0.1%

$578K Vol

abr 30, 2027 @ 00:00

Trump sofre impeachment até o final de 2026?

Rendimento

3%

97%

$469K Vol

dez 31 @ 00:00

Reza Pahlavi entrará no Irã até...?

Rendimento

31 de dezembro

5%

$3.5M Vol

jan 1, 2027 @ 05:00

Líder da Venezuela no final de 2026?

Rendimento

Nicolás Maduro

84%

Richard Grenell

49.9%

Edmundo González

39.9%

Delcy Rodríguez

12%

Dan Caine

4%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

3%

María Corina Machado

3%

Sem Chefe de Estado

2%

Dinorah Figuera

2%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

1%

Marco Rubio

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Donald Trump

1%

$145K Vol

dez 31 @ 00:00

Vencedor da Eleição para Governador da Califórnia

Rendimento

Xavier Becerra

96%

Steve Hilton

5%

Elaine Culotti

1%

Matt Mahan

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

Tom Steyer

1%

Leo Zacky

1%

Tony Thurmond

1%

Eleni Kounalakis

1%

Chad Bianco

1%

Kyle Langford

1%

Toni Atkins

1%

Betty Yee

1%

Butch Ware

1%

Stephen Cloobeck

1%

Alex Padilla

1%

Rick Caruso

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

0.3%

Eric Swalwell

0.2%

Nicole Shanahan

0.2%

Daniel Mercuri

0.2%

Michael Younger

0.1%

Katie Porter

0.1%

$4.6M Vol

nov 3 @ 00:00

SCOTUS aceita caso sobre contratos de eventos esportivos até...?

Rendimento

31 de outubro

10%

31 de dezembro

52%

$0 Vol

jan 1, 2027 @ 04:59

Próximo primeiro-ministro da Suécia

Rendimento

Magdalena Andersson

79%

Ulf Kristersson

20%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

2%

Daniel Helldén

2%

Amanda Lind

2%

Simona Mohamsson

2%

Nooshi Dadgostar

2%

Anna-Karin Hatt

2%

Ebba Busch

2%

Jimmie Åkesson

2%

$1,564 Vol

jul 1, 2027 @ 03:59

Próximo primeiro-ministro da Romênia?

Rendimento

Alexandru Nazare

51%

Eugen Tomac

20%

Ilie Bolojan

5%

Siegfried Mureșan

4%

Victor Ponta

4%

Dan Motreanu

4%

Adrian Veștea

3%

Ciprian Ciucu

3%

Traian Basescu

3%

Dragoș Pîslaru

3%

Alexandru Rogobete

3%

Șerban Matei

3%

Calin Georgescu

3%

Hunor Kelemen

3%

Nicolae Ciucă

3%

Delia Velculescu

3%

Lucian Croitoru

3%

Raluca Turcan

3%

Dominic Fritz

3%

Emil Boc

3%

Dacian Cioloș

3%

Vasile Dîncu

3%

Cătălin Drulă

3%

Elena Lasconi

3%

Ionuț Dumitru

3%

Sebastian Burduja

3%

Alexandru Rafila

3%

Marcel Ciolacu

3%

George Simion

3%

Cătălin Predoiu

3%

Lucian Isar

3%

Mircea Geoană

3%

Mugur Isărescu

3%

Radu Burnete

—%

Sorin Grindeanu

—%

Anca Dragu

—%

$9,405 Vol

jan 1, 2028 @ 04:59

Trump fora da presidência antes de 2027?

Rendimento

6%

94%

$249K Vol

dez 31 @ 00:00