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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,008.07

Current Price

$82,008.07

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

86%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

15%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price

$81,161.11

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard

77.2%

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio

MON

40%

Draw

30%

CAG

31%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,008.07

Current Price

$82,008.07

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,008.07

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,008.07

Total Vol $92,049

+790

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,074,727

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

86%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,173,533

+1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,602,837

+4.7K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

15%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Los Angeles Rams

8%

Total Vol $8,456,657

+790

Ends Feb 14, 2027

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,161.11

Total Vol $144,769

+470

Politics • Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard

77.2%

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

Ron DeSantis

49.8%

Total Vol $5,320,778

+430

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Sports • Soccer

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio

MON

40%

Draw

30%

CAG

31%

Total Vol $161,246

+860

Ends Oct 19, 2026

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,008.07

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,008.07

Total Vol $92,049

+790

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

100%

0%

$92,049 Vol

Live

META Up or Down 15m

Yield

87%

13%

$33.75 Vol

Live

SPCX Up or Down 15m

Yield

52%

48%

$231 Vol

Live

MU Up or Down 15m

Yield

60%

40%

$153 Vol

Live

MSFT Up or Down 15m

Yield

77%

23%

$19.85 Vol

Live

QQQ Up or Down 15m

Yield

62%

38%

$14.37 Vol

Live

SPY Up or Down 15m

Yield

58%

42%

$138 Vol

Live

NVDA Up or Down 15m

Yield

69%

31%

$1,126 Vol

Live

AVGO Up or Down 15m

Yield

61%

39%

$67.72 Vol

Live

GOOGL Up or Down 15m

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Live

AMZN Up or Down 15m

Yield

80%

20%

$30.8 Vol

Live

TSM Up or Down 15m

Yield

60%

40%

$15.08 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

82%

18%

$10,203 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

23%

$10.7M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

6%

No migration in 2026

90%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

28%

$20B

23%

$25B

22%

$30B

17%

$35B

14%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Yield

Harry Kane

68%

Lamine Yamal

27%

Lautaro Martinez

5%

Luis Diaz

5%

Bruno Fernandes

5%

Achraf Hakimi

5%

Kylian Mbappé

4%

Lionel Messi

4%

Erling Haaland

3%

Michael Olise

3%

Vinícius Júnior

2%

Jude Bellingham

2%

Rodri

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

1%

Vitinha

0.2%

Declan Rice

0.2%

$1.6M Vol

Oct 30 @ 11:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

86%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.2M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

61%

39%

$1,808 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

61%

39%

$3,049 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

54%

46%

$8,754 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

38%

62%

$3,406 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

57%

43%

$2,285 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

PHANTO

55%

RYVEX

45%

Aimclub

93%

INS

7%

ZEROTE

73%

BW

27%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

57%

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

38%

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

54%

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

61%

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

61%

Hot Topics

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 85%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers 15%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio

MON 40%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard 77.2%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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