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Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

83%

1 (25 bps)

11%

2 (50 bps)

4%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

0.7%

5 (125 bps)

2%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$10.3M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Yield

↑ 5.5%

3%

↑ 5.25%

6%

↑ 5.0%

1%

↑ 4.75%

3%

↑ 4.5%

4%

↑ 4.25%

18%

↓ 3.25%

10%

↓ 3.0%

4%

↓ 2.75%

3%

↓ 2.5%

4%

↓ 2.25%

4%

↓ 2.0%

6%

↓ 1.75%

3%

↓ 1.5%

4%

↓ 1.25%

7%

↓ 1.0%

3%

↓ 0.75%

15.9%

↓ 0.5%

4%

↓ 0.25%

3%

↓ 0%

3%

$615K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

23%

50+ bps decrease

2%

No change

72%

25 bps decrease

6%

50+ bps increase

1%

$205K Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yield

46%

54%

$6.1M Vol

Dec 9 @ 12:00AM

2nd Largest Company end of August?

Yield

Apple

83%

Tesla

20%

Alphabet

17%

Broadcom

2%

Amazon

2%

Saudi Aramco

2%

Microsoft

2%

NVIDIA

2%

$4,852 Vol

Aug 31 @ 11:59PM

Largest Company end of August?

Yield

NVIDIA

98%

Saudi Aramco

2%

Apple

2%

Microsoft

2%

Broadcom

1%

Amazon

1%

Tesla

1%

Alphabet

1%

$15,977 Vol

Aug 31 @ 11:59PM

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Yield

December 31, 2026

3%

June 30, 2027

11%

$103K Vol

Jun 30, 2027 @ 11:59PM

Fed Decision in September?

Yield

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

3%

No change

76%

25 bps increase

25%

50+ bps increase

1%

$424K Vol

Sep 16 @ 12:00AM

3rd Largest Company end of August?

Yield

Alphabet

75%

Apple

17%

Microsoft

4%

Broadcom

2%

Amazon

2%

Saudi Aramco

2%

Tesla

2%

NVIDIA

2%

$801 Vol

Aug 31 @ 11:59PM