Politics Prediction Markets

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yield

6%

94%

$849K Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

54%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

45%

Camilo Santana

2%

Renan Santos

2%

Tarcisio de Freitas

2%

Romeu Zema

1%

Ronaldo Caiado

1%

Ratinho Júnior

1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

1%

Michelle Bolsonaro

1%

Fernando Haddad

1%

Jair Bolsonaro

1%

$9.3M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Raphael Warnock

30.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

20%

Jon Ossoff

17%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Kamala Harris

9%

Alex Padilla

6%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Mark Kelly

6%

Michelle Obama

6%

Andy Beshear

6%

Josh Shapiro

6%

Pete Buttigieg

6%

Rahm Emanuel

5%

Mark Cuban

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Stephen A. Smith

5%

James Talarico

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Wes Moore

2%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Oprah Winfrey

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

John Fetterman

2%

Cory Booker

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

George Clooney

0.2%

$1M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

91%

1 (25 bps)

8%

2 (50 bps)

3%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$18.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yield

Democratic Party

60%

Republican Party

42%

$479K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yield

Yulia Navalnaya

8%

UNRWA

7%

International Court of Justice

6%

Donald Trump

4%

Narendra Modi

3%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

3%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

3%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

3%

António Guterres

3%

Greta Thunberg

3%

Mohammed bin Salman

2%

Charlie Kirk

2%

Xi Jinping

2%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

2%

Khaled Mashal

2%

Vladimir Putin

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Julian Assange

2%

Pope Leo XIV

2%

$609K Vol

Oct 10 @ 12:00AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

Ron DeSantis

31.8%

Tucker Carlson

31.5%

Andy Beshear

31.1%

James Talarico

30.9%

Thomas Massie

30%

JD Vance

25%

Jon Ossoff

13%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Marco Rubio

12%

Jamie Dimon

9%

Gavin Newsom

8%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Abigail Spanberger

6%

Kamala Harris

5%

Donald Trump Jr.

4%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

Pete Hegseth

4%

Eric Trump

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Ivanka Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

3%

LeBron James

3%

Tom Cotton

3%

Alex Padilla

3%

Adam Schiff

3%

Jalen Brunson

3%

Donald Trump

2%

Zohran Mamdani

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Stephen Smith

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

John N. Kennedy

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Josh Stein

2%

Elissa Slotkin

2%

Mike Johnson

1%

Ro Khanna

0.2%

Elon Musk

0.2%

$3M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

59%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

32%

Republicans Sweep

11%

Other

1%

$10.8M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Marine Le Pen

36%

Sarah Knafo

30.9%

Gabriel Attal

29.1%

Édouard Philippe

26%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

13%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Valérie Pécresse

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Fabien Roussel

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

David Lisnard

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

Éric Zemmour

1%

François Baroin

0.1%

$703K Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Yield

3%

97%

$471K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Yield

December 31

6%

$3.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Yield

Nicolás Maduro

83%

Richard Grenell

49.9%

Edmundo González

39.9%

Delcy Rodríguez

12%

María Corina Machado

5%

Dan Caine

4%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

3%

No Head of State

2%

Dinorah Figuera

2%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Jorge Rodríguez

1%

Marco Rubio

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Donald Trump

1%

$207K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

California Governor Election Winner

Yield

Xavier Becerra

95%

Steve Hilton

3%

Katie Porter

3%

Elaine Culotti

1%

Matt Mahan

1%

Kamala Harris

1%

Tom Steyer

1%

Eric Swalwell

1%

Nicole Shanahan

1%

Leo Zacky

1%

Michael Younger

1%

Tony Thurmond

1%

Daniel Mercuri

1%

Eleni Kounalakis

1%

Chad Bianco

1%

Kyle Langford

1%

Toni Atkins

1%

Betty Yee

1%

Butch Ware

1%

Stephen Cloobeck

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

1%

Alex Padilla

1%

Rick Caruso

1%

$5.5M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Yield

Alina Habba

43%

Scott Jennings

19%

Maria Bartiromo

19%

Anna Kelly

18%

$4,671 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yield

5%

95%

$253K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Yield

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

61%

Mike Rogers (R)

41%

$48,639 Vol

Nov 3 @ 5:00AM