Politics Prediction Markets

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

$10.4M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yield

≤47

—%

48

—%

49

—%

50

—%

51

—%

52

—%

53

—%

54

—%

55

—%

56

—%

57+

—%

$0 Vol

Nov 3 @ 5:00PM

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Yield

Pete Fry

60%

Ken Sim

—%

$8.18 Vol

Oct 18 @ 3:00AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Raphael Warnock

77.6%

Stephen A. Smith

48.1%

Oprah Winfrey

30%

John Fetterman

30%

Cory Booker

27.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%

Gavin Newsom

16%

Jon Ossoff

14%

Andy Beshear

12%

Kamala Harris

8%

Josh Stein

6%

Adam Schiff

6%

Elissa Slotkin

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Graham Platner

6%

Ro Khanna

6%

Barack Obama

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Josh Shapiro

6%

Pete Buttigieg

6%

Alex Padilla

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Michelle Obama

4%

James Talarico

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Wes Moore

2%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Jared Polis

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Mark Cuban

2%

Abigail Spanberger

1%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

George Clooney

0.2%

Zohran Mamdani

0.2%

Rahm Emanuel

0.2%

$2.1M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$22.1M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yield

Democratic Party

63%

Republican Party

37%

$624K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Yield

Peggy Flanagan (D)

—%

Michele Tafoya (R)

—%

$0 Vol

Nov 4 @ 2:00AM

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Yield

Darline Graham Nordone (R)

—%

Annie Andrews (D)

—%

$0 Vol

Nov 4 @ 12:00AM

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Yield

Aleksandar Vučić

—%

Ilija Srdanović

—%

Ivica Dačić

—%

Vladan Đokić

—%

Miloš Vučević

—%

Stefan Krkobabić

—%

Đuro Macut

—%

Ana Brnabić

—%

Dragan Đilas

—%

Branimir Jovanović

—%

$0 Vol

Jun 30, 2028 @ 11:59PM

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Yield

Magdalena Andersson

89.5%

Ulf Kristersson

8.5%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

2%

Daniel Helldén

2%

Amanda Lind

2%

Simona Mohamsson

2%

Nooshi Dadgostar

2%

Anna-Karin Hatt

2%

Ebba Busch

2%

Jimmie Åkesson

2%

$11,743 Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Yield

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

—%

Student List – Students Win

—%

$0 Vol

Oct 25 @ 11:59PM

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

Yield

October 31

—%

December 31

—%

$0 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Yield

Iliana Iotova

—%

Аndrey Gyurov

—%

$0 Vol

Oct 26 @ 3:59AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

Andy Beshear

49.8%

James Talarico

33.1%

Elon Musk

30.2%

Kim Kardashian

30%

Thomas Massie

29.9%

Ron DeSantis

29%

Tucker Carlson

28.6%

Donald Trump

27.4%

JD Vance

23%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

Jon Ossoff

11%

Marco Rubio

9%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Jamie Dimon

9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

6%

Kamala Harris

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Jalen Brunson

4%

Pete Hegseth

4%

Eric Trump

3%

Michelle Obama

3%

Pete Buttigieg

3%

Ivanka Trump

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

JB Pritzker

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Rick Scott

2%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

Tim Walz

0.2%

Nikki Haley

0.2%

Glenn Youngkin

0.2%

John N. Kennedy

0.2%

Tim Scott

0.2%

Candace Owens

0.2%

Josh Stein

0.2%

Elissa Slotkin

0.2%

Abigail Spanberger

0.2%

Ro Khanna

0.2%

LeBron James

0.2%

Donald Trump Jr.

0.2%

Stephen Smith

0.2%

Tom Cotton

0.2%

Doug Burgum

0.2%

Mike Johnson

0.2%

Alex Padilla

0.2%

Adam Schiff

0.2%

$5M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Marine Le Pen

47%

Fabien Roussel

30.7%

Sarah Knafo

30.6%

Gabriel Attal

28.9%

Édouard Philippe

20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12%

David Lisnard

5%

Valérie Pécresse

4%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Michel Barnier

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

Éric Zemmour

1%

François Baroin

0.1%

$1M Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM