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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,621.74

Current Price

$82,621.74

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

15%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard

77.4%

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price

$81,161.11

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain

84%

Monaco

5%

Strasbourg

2%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,621.74

Current Price

$82,621.74

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,621.74

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,621.74

Total Vol $25,374

+470

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,074,707

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,164,618

+1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

15%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Los Angeles Rams

8%

Total Vol $8,451,596

+790

Ends Feb 14, 2027

Politics • Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard

77.4%

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

Ron DeSantis

49.8%

Total Vol $5,320,778

+430

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,563,510

+4.7K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,161.11

Total Vol $130,069

+440

Sports • Soccer

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain

84%

Monaco

5%

Strasbourg

2%

Lyon

2%

Total Vol $6,172,209

+1.3K

Ends May 30, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,621.74

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,621.74

Total Vol $25,374

+470

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

17%

83%

$25,374 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

73%

27%

$11,464 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

23%

$10.7M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

6%

No migration in 2026

90%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

28%

$20B

23%

$25B

22%

$30B

17%

$35B

14%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Yield

Harry Kane

68%

Lamine Yamal

27%

Lautaro Martinez

5%

Luis Diaz

5%

Bruno Fernandes

5%

Achraf Hakimi

5%

Kylian Mbappé

4%

Lionel Messi

4%

Erling Haaland

3%

Michael Olise

3%

Vinícius Júnior

2%

Jude Bellingham

2%

Rodri

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

1%

Vitinha

0.2%

Declan Rice

0.2%

$1.6M Vol

Oct 30 @ 11:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.2M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

63%

37%

$128 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

63%

37%

$1,594 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

58%

42%

$8,632 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

51%

49%

$530 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

56%

44%

$1,937 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

31%

Hanwha Life Esports

20%

Bilibili Gaming

17%

T1

16%

Dplus KIA

8%

Anyone's Legend

6%

Invictus Gaming

4%

G2 Esports

4%

Team Liquid

2%

Top Esports

2%

Movistar KOI

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

Karmine Corp

1%

$249K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

9%

June 30, 2027

13%

December 31, 2027

33%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

Yield

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

LCS (North America)

2%

CBLOL (Brazil)

1%

LCP (Asia-Pacific)

1%

$497K Vol

Dec 30 @ 3:15PM

NFL Champion 2027

Yield

San Francisco 49ers

15%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Los Angeles Rams

8%

Jacksonville Jaguars

7%

Baltimore Ravens

7%

Seattle Seahawks

6%

New England Patriots

5%

Detroit Lions

5%

Chicago Bears

5%

Cincinnati Bengals

4%

Denver Broncos

4%

Minnesota Vikings

4%

Green Bay Packers

3%

Houston Texans

3%

Atlanta Falcons

3%

Dallas Cowboys

2%

Philadelphia Eagles

2%

Miami Dolphins

1%

Los Angeles Chargers

1%

Las Vegas Raiders

1%

Carolina Panthers

1%

Indianapolis Colts

1%

Cleveland Browns

1%

Arizona Cardinals

1%

Washington Commanders

1%

Tennessee Titans

1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1%

Pittsburgh Steelers

1%

New York Jets

1%

New Orleans Saints

1%

New York Giants

1%

$8.5M Vol

Feb 14, 2027 @ 11:55PM

NBA: 2027 Champion

Yield

San Antonio Spurs

22%

Oklahoma City Thunder

20%

Philadelphia 76ers

10%

New York Knicks

8%

Minnesota Timberwolves

7%

Boston Celtics

5%

Houston Rockets

4%

Toronto Raptors

4%

Miami Heat

4%

Utah Jazz

3%

Los Angeles Lakers

3%

Denver Nuggets

3%

Detroit Pistons

3%

Cleveland Cavaliers

3%

Portland Trail Blazers

2%

Indiana Pacers

2%

Atlanta Hawks

2%

Sacramento Kings

1%

Phoenix Suns

1%

New Orleans Pelicans

1%

Memphis Grizzlies

1%

Los Angeles Clippers

1%

Golden State Warriors

1%

Dallas Mavericks

1%

Washington Wizards

1%

Orlando Magic

1%

Milwaukee Bucks

1%

Chicago Bulls

1%

Charlotte Hornets

1%

Brooklyn Nets

1%

$6.9M Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Will Polymarket launch their official token by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

3%

March 31, 2027

13%

June 30, 2027

17%

$13.8M Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 4:00AM

Polymarket official token FDV above _ one day after launch?

Yield

$2B

36%

$4B

36%

$6B

33%

$8B

30%

$10B

28%

$7.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?

Yield

23°C or below

2%

24°C

5%

25°C

15%

26°C

28%

27°C

33%

28°C

21%

29°C

—%

30°C

1%

31°C

—%

32°C

—%

33°C or higher

—%

$8,487 Vol

3:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

—%

30°C

10%

31°C

51%

32°C

36%

33°C

—%

34°C

—%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$2,218 Vol

4:00PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

G1

42%

OMEGA1

58%

HULIGA

92%

NEMIGA

8%

66661

51%

Privateer

49%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

56%

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

51%

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

58%

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

63%

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

63%

Hot Topics

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 84%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers 15%

AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio

MON 42%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Tulsi Gabbard 77.4%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

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