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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,975.64

Current Price

$81,975.64

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

TB

56%

Oct 18, 2026

12:00AM

CLE

44%

Trump out as President before 2027?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

39%

48

—

49

—

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

13%

Los Angeles Rams

12%

Buffalo Bills

12%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,975.64

Current Price

$81,975.64

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,975.64

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,975.64

Total Vol $37,069

+670

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,066,058

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,083,173

+990

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

TB

56%-44%

CLE

Total Vol $342,906

+410

Ends Oct 18, 2026

Politics • Trump

Trump out as President before 2027?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Total Vol $443,462

+330

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Politics • Elections

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

39%

48

—

49

—

50

—

Total Vol $132,691

+67

Ends Nov 3, 2026

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

13%

Los Angeles Rams

12%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

10%

Total Vol $8,252,299

+780

Ends Feb 14, 2027

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,420,658

+4.7K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,975.64

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,975.64

Total Vol $37,069

+670

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

69%

31%

$37,069 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

51%

49%

$2,970 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

81%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

20%

$10.5M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

6%

No migration in 2026

91%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.1M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

27%

$20B

22%

$25B

21%

$30B

16%

$35B

15%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Penguins vs. Golden Knights

Yield

1%

99%

$13,646 Vol

Live

Oilers vs. Utah

Yield

100%

0%

$3,463 Vol

Live

Bruins vs. Kings

Yield

100%

0%

$94,858 Vol

Live

Highest temperature in Paris on October 18?

Yield

7°C or below

1%

8°C

—%

9°C

—%

10°C

4%

11°C

1%

12°C

2%

13°C

13%

14°C

60%

15°C

30%

16°C

2%

17°C or higher

1%

$6,448 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 18?

Yield

16°C or below

1%

17°C

1%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

2%

21°C

1%

22°C

2%

23°C

95%

24°C

4%

25°C

1%

26°C or higher

1%

$5,564 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

61%

32°C

28%

33°C

3%

34°C

1%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$2,223 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

Yield

18°C or below

—%

19°C

1%

20°C

2%

21°C

1%

22°C

10%

23°C

51%

24°C

42%

25°C

7%

26°C

1%

27°C

4%

28°C or higher

1%

$3,810 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 18?

Yield

28°C or below

—%

29°C

—%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

36%

35°C

41%

36°C

1%

37°C

1%

38°C or higher

1%

$5,721 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

Yield

25°C or below

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

6%

31°C

45%

32°C

40%

33°C

5%

34°C

2%

35°C or higher

—%

$5,551 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?

Yield

24°C or below

—%

25°C

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

3%

30°C

54%

31°C

28%

32°C

—%

33°C

2%

34°C or higher

1%

$1,691 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.1M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

87%

13%

$60,029 Vol

6:00PM

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

33%

Bilibili Gaming

20%

Hanwha Life Esports

19%

T1

18%

Dplus KIA

9%

Anyone's Legend

8%

G2 Esports

5%

Invictus Gaming

3%

Team Liquid

2%

Top Esports

2%

Karmine Corp

2%

Movistar KOI

1%

MVK Esports

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

$111K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

9%

June 30, 2027

16%

December 31, 2027

33%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

Yield

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

25%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

LCS (North America)

2%

CBLOL (Brazil)

1%

LCP (Asia-Pacific)

1%

$292K Vol

Dec 30 @ 3:15PM

NFL Champion 2027

Yield

San Francisco 49ers

13%

Los Angeles Rams

12%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Kansas City Chiefs

10%

Baltimore Ravens

8%

Jacksonville Jaguars

7%

Seattle Seahawks

6%

Detroit Lions

5%

New England Patriots

4%

Cincinnati Bengals

4%

Denver Broncos

4%

Chicago Bears

4%

Minnesota Vikings

4%

Dallas Cowboys

3%

Atlanta Falcons

3%

Green Bay Packers

2%

Houston Texans

2%

Philadelphia Eagles

2%

Miami Dolphins

1%

Los Angeles Chargers

1%

Las Vegas Raiders

1%

Carolina Panthers

1%

Indianapolis Colts

1%

Cleveland Browns

1%

Arizona Cardinals

1%

Washington Commanders

1%

Tennessee Titans

1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1%

Pittsburgh Steelers

1%

New York Jets

1%

New Orleans Saints

1%

New York Giants

1%

$8.3M Vol

Feb 14, 2027 @ 11:55PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

ST1

50%

KT

50%

NHL

Penguins

1%

Golden Knights

99%

Oilers

100%

Utah

0%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 18?

30°C

54%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?

31°C

45%

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 18?

35°C

41%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?

23°C

51%

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 18?

31°C

61%

Hot Topics

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 84%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

TB 56%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers 13%

Trump out as President before 2027?

3%

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47 39%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

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