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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$80,709.51

Current Price

$80,709.51

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

25%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

5%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

96%

Pro Football: NFC West Champion

San Francisco 49ers

79%

Seattle Seahawks

11%

Los Angeles Rams

7%

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

27%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

Pro Football: AFC East Champion

Buffalo Bills

71%

New England Patriots

30%

New York Jets

2%

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

Bosnia and Herzegovina

68.3%

Norway

55.9%

Italy

49.4%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$80,709.51

Current Price

$80,709.51

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$80,709.51

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$80,709.51

Total Vol $33,910

+730

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

67%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

25%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Total Vol $12,640,359

+2.1K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

5%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

96%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,697,566

+1.1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Pro Football: NFC West Champion

San Francisco 49ers

79%

Seattle Seahawks

11%

Los Angeles Rams

7%

Arizona Cardinals

1%

Total Vol $562,091

+140

Ends Jan 4, 2027

Finance • IPO

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

27%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

18%

Total Vol $2,813,511

+470

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Pro Football: AFC East Champion

Buffalo Bills

71%

New England Patriots

30%

New York Jets

2%

Miami Dolphins

1%

Total Vol $330,100

+110

Ends Jan 4, 2027

Sports • Soccer

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

Bosnia and Herzegovina

68.3%

Norway

55.9%

Italy

49.4%

Luxembourg

30%

Total Vol $1,902,532

+290

Ends Jul 9, 2028

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $23,390,750

+5K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$80,709.51

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$80,709.51

Total Vol $33,910

+730

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

7%

93%

$33,910 Vol

Live

Raptors vs. Timberwolves

Yield

50%

50%

$2,740 Vol

11:00PM

Magic vs. Knicks

Yield

28%

72%

$2,168 Vol

11:00PM

Pacers vs. Nets

Yield

71%

29%

$4,463 Vol

10:00PM

Lakers vs. Jazz

Yield

68%

32%

$2,921 Vol

9:00PM

Pistons vs. 76ers

Yield

45%

55%

$2,555 Vol

11:30PM

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Yield

64%

36%

$2,367 Vol

Oct 26 @ 1:00AM

Clippers vs. Thunder

Yield

11%

89%

$680 Vol

11:00PM

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

40%

60%

$3,491 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

80%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

21%

$11.5M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

4%

No migration in 2026

94%

Arbitrum

1%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

67%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

25%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Other

1%

$12.6M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

27%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

18%

$35B

15%

$40B

13%

$50B

10%

$2.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Yield

Harry Kane

71%

Kylian Mbappé

17%

Lamine Yamal

11%

Lautaro Martinez

5%

Luis Diaz

5%

Bruno Fernandes

5%

Achraf Hakimi

5%

Vinícius Júnior

3%

Jude Bellingham

3%

Erling Haaland

3%

Lionel Messi

2%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

1%

Rodri

1%

Michael Olise

1%

Vitinha

0.2%

Declan Rice

0.2%

$2.4M Vol

Oct 30 @ 11:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 25?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

—%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

100%

32°C

1%

33°C

2%

34°C

1%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$5,485 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 25?

Yield

11°C or below

—%

12°C

—%

13°C

1%

14°C

1%

15°C

1%

16°C

96%

17°C

5%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

—%

21°C or higher

—%

$4,096 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 25?

Yield

18°C or below

—%

19°C

—%

20°C

1%

21°C

1%

22°C

41%

23°C

54%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

—%

27°C

—%

28°C or higher

—%

$7,258 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 25?

Yield

18°C or below

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

9%

22°C

5%

23°C

2%

24°C

1%

25°C

3%

26°C

1%

27°C

1%

28°C or higher

—%

$5,260 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 25?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

—%

20°C

—%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

100%

27°C or higher

1%

$6,100 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 25?

Yield

22°C or below

1%

23°C

—%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

99%

29°C

2%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C or higher

—%

$8,532 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

99%

31°C

1%

32°C

2%

33°C

1%

34°C

—%

35°C

1%

36°C or higher

—%

$5,006 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

5%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

96%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.7M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

BOOM Esports

1%

BOX Gaming

ZTX

4%

PRODIG

96%

AURYB

1%

HEC

99%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Highest temperature in Paris on October 25?

16°C

96%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 25?

23°C

54%

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 25?

31°C

100%

Grizzlies vs. Kings

MEM

64%

Clippers vs. Thunder

LAC

11%

Hot Topics

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B 27%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 71%

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 29%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 81%

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF

BAR 59%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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