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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$79,685.84

Current Price

$79,685.84

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

66%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

27%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

6%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

94%

OKX IPO in 2026?

4%Chance▲ 1.00%

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$500M

9%

$1B

8%

$2B

6%

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova

72%

Аndrey Gyurov

29%

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

29%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$79,685.84

Current Price

$79,685.84

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$79,685.84

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$79,685.84

Total Vol $18,515

+510

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

66%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

27%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Total Vol $12,957,890

+2.2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

6%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

94%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $3,182,456

+1.3K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Finance • IPO

OKX IPO in 2026?

4%Chance▲ 1.00%

Total Vol $901,999

+580

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Crypto • Pre-Market

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$500M

9%

$1B

8%

$2B

6%

$3B

5%

Total Vol $22,813,536

+4K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Politics • Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova

72%

Аndrey Gyurov

29%

Total Vol $161,307

+170

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Finance • IPO

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

29%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

17%

Total Vol $3,282,799

+530

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $23,750,148

+5.2K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$79,685.84

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$79,685.84

Total Vol $18,515

+510

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

65%

35%

$18,515 Vol

Live

CL Up or Down 15m

Yield

49%

51%

$1.96 Vol

Live

XAU Up or Down 15m

Yield

40%

60%

$300 Vol

Live

ZHIPU Up or Down 15m

Yield

75%

25%

$47.41 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

36%

64%

$8,060 Vol

Live

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 27, 2026?

Yield

24%

76%

$1,217 Vol

8:10AM

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 27, 2026?

Yield

1%

99%

$20,519 Vol

8:10AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

3%

No migration in 2026

94%

Arbitrum

1%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

66%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

27%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Other

1%

$13M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

29%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

17%

$35B

18%

$40B

13%

$50B

11%

$3.3M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Yield

↑$3.0T

17%

↑$2.5T

31%

↑$2.0T

71%

↑$1.75T

81%

↑$1.5T

96%

↓$800B

5%

↓$700B

4%

↓$600B

3%

$278K Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 27?

Yield

21°C or below

1%

22°C

—%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

23%

26°C

1%

27°C

34%

28°C

21%

29°C

2%

30°C

1%

31°C or higher

1%

$3,877 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 27?

Yield

10°C or below

—%

11°C

—%

12°C

—%

13°C

—%

14°C

1%

15°C

1%

16°C

—%

17°C

39%

18°C

45%

19°C

22%

20°C or higher

2%

$2,422 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 27?

Yield

10°C or below

—%

11°C

—%

12°C

1%

13°C

1%

14°C

1%

15°C

1%

16°C

99%

17°C

2%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C or higher

1%

$8,825 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 27?

Yield

24°C or below

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

99%

30°C

2%

31°C

3%

32°C

1%

33°C

—%

34°C or higher

—%

$6,460 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 27?

Yield

16°C or below

—%

17°C

1%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

97%

21°C

3%

22°C

4%

23°C

5%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C or higher

1%

$4,104 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 27?

Yield

16°C or below

—%

17°C

—%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

99%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

—%

26°C or higher

—%

$5,676 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 27?

Yield

25°C or below

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

92%

32°C

9%

33°C

—%

34°C

1%

35°C or higher

—%

$4,948 Vol

12:00PM

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Yield

<$1.25T

—%

$1.25–$1.5T

6%

$1.5–$1.75T

—%

$1.75–$2.0T

31%

$2.0–$2.25T

21%

$2.25–$2.5T

13%

$2.5–$2.75T

—%

$2.75–$3.0T

—%

$3.0T+

—%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

—%

$922 Vol

Dec 31 @ 11:55PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

6%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

94%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$3.2M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 28, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 28 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 28, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 28 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 28, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 28 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 28, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 28 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 28, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 28 @ 1:30AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

DON

87%

INVICT1

13%

TTGESP

49%

DIA

51%

WNT

MAYBE

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 27, 2026?

1%

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 27, 2026?

24%

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 27?

31°C

92%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 27?

20°C

97%

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 27?

29°C

99%

Hot Topics

Fed Decision in October?

No change 94%

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B 29%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 66%

OKX IPO in 2026?

4%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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