Elections Prediction Markets

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Yield

Magdalena Andersson

47%

Ulf Kristersson

25.9%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

2%

Daniel Helldén

2%

Amanda Lind

2%

Simona Mohamsson

2%

Nooshi Dadgostar

2%

Anna-Karin Hatt

2%

Ebba Busch

2%

Jimmie Åkesson

2%

$12,956 Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Mitch Landrieu

99.4%

Cory Booker

77.8%

Stephen A. Smith

77.3%

Wes Moore

29.9%

Jon Ossoff

28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Pete Buttigieg

8%

Kamala Harris

7%

Raphael Warnock

6.7%

Josh Stein

6%

Chris Murphy

6%

Bernie Sanders

6%

Jon Stewart

6%

Alex Padilla

5%

Ruben Gallego

5%

Chelsea Clinton

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

James Talarico

4.5%

Michelle Obama

4%

MrBeast

3%

Hunter Biden

3%

Mark Cuban

2%

Roy Cooper

1%

Gina Raimondo

1%

Tim Walz

1%

Josh Shapiro

0.7%

Elissa Slotkin

0.3%

Ro Khanna

0.3%

Jasmine Crockett

0.2%

Kim Kardashian

0.2%

Andrew Yang

0.2%

LeBron James

0.2%

Barack Obama

0.2%

Zohran Mamdani

0.2%

Adam Schiff

0.2%

Hakeem Jeffries

0.2%

Abigail Spanberger

0.2%

Graham Platner

0.2%

Beto O’Rourke

0.2%

Oprah Winfrey

0.2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

0.2%

George Clooney

0.2%

Phil Murphy

0.2%

Liz Cheney

0.2%

Hillary Clinton

0.2%

Jared Polis

0.2%

John Fetterman

0.2%

Mark Kelly

0.2%

Andy Beshear

0.2%

$2.6M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yield

Democratic

69%

Republican

33%

$80.5 Vol

Nov 8, 2028 @ 4:59AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

James Talarico

87.7%

Rick Scott

76.3%

JB Pritzker

75.8%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

Andy Beshear

49.8%

Thomas Massie

30%

Jon Ossoff

18%

Kim Kardashian

15.1%

Elon Musk

14.4%

Ron DeSantis

14%

JD Vance

13%

Marco Rubio

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Ro Khanna

6%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

6%

Donald Trump

6%

Pete Buttigieg

6%

Tom Cotton

6%

Hakeem Jeffries

6%

Jalen Brunson

6%

Nikki Haley

5%

Donald Trump Jr.

5%

Kamala Harris

5%

Glenn Youngkin

5%

Gretchen Whitmer

5%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Ivanka Trump

3.9%

Michelle Obama

3%

Pete Hegseth

3%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

Jamie Dimon

0.5%

Tim Walz

0.2%

Stephen Smith

0.2%

John N. Kennedy

0.2%

Tim Scott

0.2%

Candace Owens

0.2%

Josh Stein

0.2%

Elissa Slotkin

0.2%

Abigail Spanberger

0.2%

Eric Trump

0.2%

LeBron James

0.2%

Greg Abbott

0.2%

Tulsi Gabbard

0.2%

Doug Burgum

0.2%

Mike Johnson

0.2%

Alex Padilla

0.2%

Adam Schiff

0.2%

$6.5M Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

J.D. Vance

35%

Mike Pence

23.1%

Marco Rubio

23%

Ron DeSantis

15%

Rick Scott

6%

John N. Kennedy

6%

Ivanka Trump

4%

Tucker Carlson

4%

Ted Cruz

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

4%

Eric Trump

3%

Kim Kardashian

3%

Erika Kirk

3%

Elon Musk

3%

Tom Cotton

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Joe Kent

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

2%

Steve Bannon

2%

Rand Paul

2%

Tom Brady

2%

Kristi Noem

2%

John Thune

2%

Matt Gaetz

2%

Josh Hawley

2%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Byron Donalds

2%

Brian Kemp

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

Katie Britt

1%

Donald Trump

0.2%

$490K Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Sarah Knafo

83.5%

Fabien Roussel

53.9%

Marine Le Pen

47%

Gabriel Attal

29%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

14%

Édouard Philippe

7%

François Baroin

5%

Valérie Pécresse

5%

Sébastien Lecornu

3%

Élisabeth Borne

3%

François Bayrou

3%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

3%

Clémentine Autain

3%

François Asselineau

3%

Dominique de Villepin

3%

Olivier Faure

3%

Marine Tondelier

3%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

François Ruffin

3%

Laurent Wauquiez

3%

Xavier Bertrand

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Yannick Jadot

2%

Lucie Castets

2%

Karim Bouamrane

2%

Clémence Guetté

2%

Juan Branco

2%

Mathilde Panot

2%

Manuel Bompard

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Carole Delga

2%

Gérald Darmanin

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

Éric Zemmour

1%

David Lisnard

0.3%

Michel Barnier

0.1%

$1.2M Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Yield

Chuck Schumer

85%

Chris Van Hollen

15%

Mark Kelly

—%

Cory Booker

—%

Patty Murray

—%

Amy Klobuchar

—%

Brian Schatz

—%

Tom Cotton

—%

Steve Daines

—%

John Barrasso

—%

John Thune

—%

$0 Vol

Jan 3, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Yield

Dragan Đilas

99.6%

Branimir Jovanović

98.9%

Radomir Saičić

9.2%

Ilija Srdanović

5%

Miloš Vučević

2%

Aleksandar Vučić

2%

Vladan Đokić

2%

Stefan Krkobabić

2%

Đuro Macut

2%

Ana Brnabić

2%

Ivica Dačić

2%

Dejan Šoškić

0.6%

$68,844 Vol

Jun 30, 2028 @ 11:59PM

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

Yield

87%

13%

$0 Vol

Nov 30 @ 4:59AM

Spain General Election Winner

Yield

PP

83%

PSOE

18%

$25,423 Vol

Nov 30 @ 4:59AM

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Yield

Zoran Janković

73%

Luka Mesec

28%

Anton Rop

5%

Aleksandar Repić

4%

Klemen Boštjančič

2%

Aleš Vrhovec

2%

Apolonija Simon

2%

Mihael Jarc

2%

Aleš Primc

2%

Jasmin Feratović

2%

Gregor Novak

2%

$164 Vol

Nov 16 @ 4:59AM

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Yield

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

83%

Pedro Sánchez

17%

Santiago Abascal

3%

Óscar Puente

1%

Carlos Cuerpo

1%

Isabel Díaz Ayuso

1%

Carles Puigdemont

1%

Borja Sémper

1%

Cuca Gamarra

1%

Pepa Millán

1%

Ester Muñoz

1%

Miguel Tellado

1%

Aitor Esteban

1%

Ernest Urtasun

1%

Yolanda Díaz

1%

María Jesús Montero

1%

$13,119 Vol

Apr 1, 2028 @ 3:59AM

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Yield

Javier Milei

45%

Axel Kicillof

33%

Sergio Massa

14%

Máximo Kirchner

—%

Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro

—%

Daniel Hadad

—%

Guillermo Moreno

—%

Nicolás del Caño

—%

Karina Milei

—%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

—%

Patricia Bullrich

—%

Dante Gebel

—%

Mauricio Macri

—%

Victoria Villarruel

—%

Myriam Bregman

—%

Facundo Manes

—%

Juan Schiaretti

—%

Esteban Bullrich

—%

Juan Grabois

—%

$100 Vol

Oct 25, 2027 @ 3:59AM

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Yield

Nayib Bukele

92.9%

Orlando del Cid

5%

Alirio García Flamenco

5%

Rafael Aguirre

5%

Mayteé Iraheta

5%

$122 Vol

Mar 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Yield

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

96%

Marine Le Pen

92%

Édouard Philippe

87%

Nathalie Arthaud

86%

Éric Zemmour

85%

Fabien Roussel

79%

Bruno Retailleau

73%

David Lisnard

56%

Raphaël Glucksmann

55%

Dominique de Villepin

36%

François Hollande

31%

Marine Tondelier

29%

Juan Branco

15%

Bally Bagayoko

—%

Philippe de Villiers

—%

Matthieu Pigasse

—%

Teddy Riner

—%

Manuel Valls

—%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

—%

Karim Bouamrane

—%

Jérôme Guedj

—%

Delphine Batho

—%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

—%

Sébastien Lecornu

—%

Sarah Knafo

—%

Mathilde Panot

—%

Manuel Bompard

—%

Bernard Cazeneuve

—%

Carole Delga

—%

Gérald Darmanin

—%

Jean Castex

—%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

—%

Élisabeth Borne

—%

François Bayrou

—%

Valérie Pécresse

—%

Michel Barnier

—%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

—%

Clémentine Autain

—%

François Asselineau

—%

Ségolène Royal

—%

Olivier Faure

—%

Gabriel Attal

—%

François Ruffin

—%

Laurent Wauquiez

—%

Xavier Bertrand

—%

Jordan Bardella

—%

$471 Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Yield

Mary Peltola

87%

Sen. Dan Sullivan

14%

+44

$5,265 Vol

Nov 4 @ 4:59AM