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All Politics

Politics

Status:Open

Closing DateAny Time

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Who will Trump speak to by November 30?

Yield

Mark Carney

99%

Elon Musk

98%

Vladimir Putin

97%

Xi Jinping

97%

Mohammed bin Salman

79%

Emmanuel Macron

61%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

60%

Andy Burnham

48%

Ursula von der Leyen

35%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

23%

Lula da Silva

17%

Kim Jong Un

6%

Miguel Díaz-Canel

5%

Pope Leo XIV

5%

Maria Corina Machado

5%

Mojtaba Khamenei

4%

Reza Pahlavi

4%

Yoon Suk Yeol

3%

Masoud Pezeshkian

—%

Mark Rutte

—%

Nicolás Maduro

—%

$336 Vol

Dec 1 @ 4:59AM

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Yield

Howard Lutnick

41%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

17%

Kash Patel

12%

Markwayne Mullin

9%

Tom Homan

8%

Russell Vought

8%

Marco Rubio

8%

John Ratcliffe

7%

Lee Zeldin

7%

Dan Scavino

6%

Scott Bessent

6%

David Sacks

5.1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

5%

Stephen Miller

4%

$7,715 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Yield

1%

99%

$1M Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Yield

Chuck Schumer

85%

Chris Van Hollen

13%

Mark Kelly

—%

Cory Booker

—%

Patty Murray

—%

Amy Klobuchar

—%

Brian Schatz

—%

Tom Cotton

—%

Steve Daines

—%

John Barrasso

—%

John Thune

—%

$0 Vol

Jan 3, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yield

2%

98%

$608K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Next Press Secretary announced by...?

Yield

November 30

32%

December 31

71%

$28,506 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?

Yield

November 15, 2026

2%

November 30, 2026

3%

December 31, 2026

8%

March 31, 2027

25%

$260 Vol

Apr 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yield

2%

98%

$1M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Next Press Secretary?

Yield

Tricia McLaughlin

86.7%

Scott Jennings

10%

Anna Kelly

9%

Steven Cheung

5%

Alina Habba

1.1%

Laura Loomer

—%

Jake Paul

—%

Karoline Leavitt

—%

Elizabeth Pipko

—%

Beni Rae Harmony

—%

Maria Bartiromo

—%

Rachel Campos-Duffy

—%

Lara Trump

—%

Spencer Pratt

—%

Matthew Boyle

—%

Katie Miller

—%

Ari Fleischer

—%

Natalie Harp

—%

Monica Crowley

—%

Kari Lake

—%

Kayleigh McEnany

—%

Harrison Fields

—%

Hogan Gidley

—%

Katie Pavlich

—%

Kaelan Dorr

—%

Liz Huston

—%

Lauren Bis

—%

Pat Adams

—%

Taylor Rogers

—%

Kush Desai

—%

Margo Martin

—%

$1,263 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 4:59AM

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yield

16%

84%

$7,024 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Yield

4%

96%

$863 Vol

Dec 1 @ 4:59AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yield

2%

98%

+2.8K

$3.6M Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM