AI Prediction Markets

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Yield

1480+

7%

1490+

7%

1500+

8%

1510+

4%

1495+

7%

$18,456 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31?

Yield

3

64%

4

19%

5

—%

6

5%

7+

5%

$138 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Yield

Google

86%

Meta

2%

xAI

2%

ByteDance

1%

Baidu

1%

Amazon

1%

Microsoft

1%

Meituan

1%

Mistral

1%

DeepSeek

1%

Alibaba

1%

$21,994 Vol

Dec 31 @ 5:00PM

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Yield

December 31

96%

$21,703 Vol

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Yield

1500+

72%

1510+

51%

1520+

33%

1530+

17%

1540+

8%

$0 Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Yield

December 31, 2026

8%

December 31, 2027

34%

$7,634 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 4:59AM

AI bubble burst by...?

Yield

December 31, 2026

8%

June 30, 2027

19%

$12,287 Vol

Jul 1, 2027 @ 3:59AM

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Yield

Xiaomi

61%

Alibaba

27%

Z.ai

5%

Tencent

4%

Baidu

4%

Moonshot

4%

StepFun

3%

Meituan

3%

MiniMax

3%

ByteDance

3%

DeepSeek

3%

$271 Vol

Dec 1 @ 4:59AM

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

Yield

November 23

28%

November 30

60%

December 7

75%

$0 Vol

Dec 8 @ 4:59AM

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Yield

1575

9%

1600

5%

$2,471 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Yield

#1

6%

#3

16%

$9,064 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Yield

↑ 1550

30%

↑ 1600

6%

↑ 1650

5%

↑ 1700

4%

+16

$1,484 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

Yield

November 30

5%

December 31

10%

$0 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM