AI Prediction Markets

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Yield

1575

81%

1600

30%

$0 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Yield

1480+

88%

1490+

87%

1500+

39%

1510+

17%

1495+

57.8%

$10,230 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Yield

Alibaba

80%

Moonshot

17%

Z.ai

6%

Tencent

3%

ByteDance

3%

DeepSeek

3%

StepFun

2%

Meituan

2%

MiniMax

2%

Xiaomi

2%

Baidu

2%

$1,616 Vol

Oct 1 @ 3:59AM

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Yield

#1

9%

#3

23%

$2,850 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Yield

↑ 1520

52%

↑ 1530

27%

↑ 1540

—%

↑ 1550

—%

↑ 1600

4%

↑ 1650

—%

↑ 1700

5%

$171 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

Yield

September 15

94%

September 30

97%

October 31

98%

$43,706 Vol

Nov 1 @ 5:00AM

Gemini 4.0 released by ...?

Yield

August 31

1%

September 30

34%

September 15

7%

October 31

65%

November 30

89%

$8,001 Vol

Dec 1 @ 5:00AM

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Yield

Anthropic

72%

OpenAI

14%

Google

10%

xAI

8%

Meta

4%

Moonshot

4%

ByteDance

3%

Baidu

3%

Amazon

3%

Microsoft

3%

Meituan

3%

Mistral

3%

DeepSeek

3%

Z.ai

3%

Alibaba

3%

$11.78 Vol

Dec 31 @ 5:00PM

GPT-6 released by…?

Yield

September 30, 2026

60%

December 31, 2026

79%

$20,938 Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 4:59AM

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Yield

Anthropic

91%

OpenAI

8%

Google

3%

Microsoft

2%

StepFun

2%

Tencent

2%

Meituan

2%

Mistral

2%

MiniMax

2%

Thinky

2%

Nvidia

2%

ByteDance

2%

Amazon

2%

DeepSeek

2%

Xiaomi

2%

Z.ai

2%

Baidu

2%

Moonshot

2%

Alibaba

2%