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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$83,506.00

Current Price

$83,506.00

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

65%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

89%

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

16%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Buffalo Bills

11%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

Ron DeSantis

49.8%

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC

BAY

44%

Draw

26%

ARS

31%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$83,506.00

Current Price

$83,506.00

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$83,506.00

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$83,506.00

Total Vol $15,804

+100

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

65%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Total Vol $12,134,786

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

89%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,245,576

+1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Trump

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Total Vol $877,207

+370

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,941,289

+4.8K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

16%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Buffalo Bills

11%

Baltimore Ravens

8%

Total Vol $8,808,279

+790

Ends Feb 14, 2027

Politics • Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

James Talarico

67.9%

Tucker Carlson

49.8%

Ron DeSantis

49.8%

Andy Beshear

49.8%

Total Vol $5,416,738

+430

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Sports • Soccer

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC

BAY

44%

Draw

26%

ARS

31%

Total Vol $161,642

+1.4K

Ends Oct 21, 2026

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$83,506.00

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$83,506.00

Total Vol $15,804

+100

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

69%

31%

$15,804 Vol

Live

CL Up or Down 15m

Yield

32%

68%

$1,198 Vol

Live

XAU Up or Down 15m

Yield

55%

45%

$711 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

22%

78%

$8,955 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

81%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

21%

$10.8M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

5%

No migration in 2026

93%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.3M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

65%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

8%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

26%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

18%

$35B

15%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Yield

Harry Kane

75%

Lamine Yamal

20%

Kylian Mbappé

5%

Lautaro Martinez

5%

Luis Diaz

5%

Bruno Fernandes

5%

Achraf Hakimi

5%

Erling Haaland

3%

Lionel Messi

3%

Michael Olise

3%

Vinícius Júnior

2%

Jude Bellingham

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

1%

Rodri

1%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

1%

Vitinha

0.2%

Declan Rice

0.2%

$1.8M Vol

Oct 30 @ 11:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

89%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.2M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$2,107 Vol

Oct 22 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

53%

47%

$1,922 Vol

Oct 22 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$2,071 Vol

Oct 22 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

45%

55%

$563 Vol

Oct 22 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

47%

53%

$2,713 Vol

Oct 22 @ 1:30AM

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$107 Vol

Oct 22 @ 1:30AM

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

Yield

54%

46%

$118 Vol

Oct 22 @ 1:30AM

Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs TOP Esports Armor (BO7) - King Pro League Grand Finals Breakout Stage

Yield

94%

6%

$45.47 Vol

Live

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

34%

Hanwha Life Esports

20%

Bilibili Gaming

19%

T1

17%

Dplus KIA

7%

Anyone's Legend

6%

G2 Esports

4%

Invictus Gaming

3%

Team Liquid

2%

Top Esports

2%

Movistar KOI

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

Karmine Corp

1%

$406K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Warriors vs. Lakers

Yield

34%

66%

$6,270 Vol

Oct 22 @ 2:00AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

8%

June 30, 2027

11%

December 31, 2027

32%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Bucks vs. Wizards

Yield

38%

62%

$4,898 Vol

11:00PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

AG Super Play

94%

TOP Esports Armor

BCA

89%

Aimclub

11%

JUSTPL

59%

FF

41%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

54%

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

50%

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

47%

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

45%

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 22, 2026?

50%

Hot Topics

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers 16%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC

BAY 44%

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC

COM 41%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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