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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,778.47

Current Price

$81,778.47

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

31%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

69%

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

FUR

77%

Oct 15, 2026

11:00PM

MVK

23%

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

C9

32%

Oct 15, 2026

6:00PM

KC

68%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker

77.7%

Raphael Warnock

77%

Stephen A. Smith

76.3%

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs

22%

Oklahoma City Thunder

20%

Philadelphia 76ers

11%

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA

72%

Apple

26%

SpaceX

3%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,778.47

Current Price

$81,778.47

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,778.47

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,778.47

Total Vol $42,423

+590

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $11,978,576

+1.9K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

31%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

69%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $1,781,773

+890

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

FUR

77%-23%

MVK

Total Vol $79,511

+1.3K

Ends Oct 16, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

C9

32%-68%

KC

Total Vol $112,446

+1.8K

Ends Oct 15, 2026

Politics • Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker

77.7%

Raphael Warnock

77%

Stephen A. Smith

76.3%

Oprah Winfrey

30%

Total Vol $2,091,970

+440

Ends Nov 7, 2028

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs

22%

Oklahoma City Thunder

20%

Philadelphia 76ers

11%

New York Knicks

9%

Total Vol $6,541,679

+980

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Finance • Market Cap

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA

72%

Apple

26%

SpaceX

3%

Saudi Aramco

3%

Total Vol $159,377

+140

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,778.47

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,778.47

Total Vol $42,423

+590

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

51%

49%

$42,423 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

52%

48%

$4,544 Vol

Live

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

7%

No migration in 2026

88%

Arbitrum

3%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$19.9M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

30%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

$30B

19%

$35B

17%

$40B

13%

$50B

9%

$1.7M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

Yield

Tempo

—%

Hyperliquid

—%

Starknet

—%

Optimism

—%

Sui

—%

BNB Chain

—%

Solana

—%

Base

—%

Aptos

—%

Monad

—%

MegaETH

—%

Avalanche

—%

Arbitrum

—%

New Polymarket chain

—%

$0 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

86%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

15%

$10.2M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

Yield

23°C or below

—%

24°C

—%

25°C

—%

26°C

1%

27°C

4%

28°C

4%

29°C

29%

30°C

55%

31°C

16%

32°C

—%

33°C or higher

4%

$3,854 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 15?

Yield

25°C or below

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

3%

29°C

4%

30°C

32%

31°C

53%

32°C

14%

33°C

3%

34°C

1%

35°C or higher

—%

$7,541 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 15?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

—%

20°C

—%

21°C

—%

22°C

—%

23°C

18%

24°C

62%

25°C

19%

26°C

—%

27°C or higher

—%

$4,167 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 15?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

1%

20°C

3%

21°C

23%

22°C

60%

23°C

16%

24°C

—%

25°C

1%

26°C

1%

27°C or higher

—%

$7,587 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 15?

Yield

19°C or below

—%

20°C

1%

21°C

2%

22°C

4%

23°C

37%

24°C

51%

25°C

10%

26°C

3%

27°C

2%

28°C

2%

29°C or higher

1%

$7,709 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?

Yield

15°C or below

—%

16°C

—%

17°C

1%

18°C

1%

19°C

3%

20°C

15%

21°C

60%

22°C

22%

23°C

5%

24°C

1%

25°C or higher

—%

$6,834 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 15?

Yield

26°C or below

1%

27°C

8%

28°C

35%

29°C

36%

30°C

21%

31°C

4%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

—%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$4,916 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

31%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

69%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$1.8M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

32%

68%

$112K Vol

Oct 15 @ 6:00PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

26%

74%

$1,992 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

25%

75%

$5,560 Vol

Oct 15 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

22%

78%

$3,044 Vol

Oct 15 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

30%

70%

$814 Vol

Oct 15 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

17%

83%

$12,965 Vol

Oct 15 @ 1:30AM

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

28%

72%

$4,441 Vol

Oct 15 @ 1:30AM

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

Yield

33%

67%

$3,335 Vol

Oct 15 @ 1:30AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

LDP

72%

Galorys

28%

NTR

64%

FOKUS

36%

FlyQuest RED

68%

MIBR GC

100%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 15, 2026?

26%

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 15?

29°C

36%

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?

21°C

60%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 15?

24°C

51%

Hot Topics

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs 22%

Fed Decision in October?

No change 69%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 25%

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 72%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker 77.7%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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