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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,017.27

Current Price

$82,017.27

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

16%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

84%

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%Chance▲ 1.00%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

NFL Champion 2027

Buffalo Bills

12%

San Francisco 49ers

12%

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

4%Chance

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

71%

LPL (China)

23%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

6%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,017.27

Current Price

$82,017.27

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,017.27

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,017.27

Total Vol $41,275

+640

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,051,730

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

16%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

84%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $1,906,224

+920

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Trump

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%Chance▲ 1.00%

Total Vol $597,360

+310

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,139,045

+4.6K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

NFL Champion 2027

Buffalo Bills

12%

San Francisco 49ers

12%

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Kansas City Chiefs

10%

Total Vol $7,846,998

+770

Ends Feb 14, 2027

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

4%Chance

Total Vol $4,720,656

+3.4K

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Esports • LoL

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

71%

LPL (China)

23%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

6%

LCS (North America)

3%

Total Vol $212,643

+340

Ends Dec 31, 2026

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,017.27

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,017.27

Total Vol $41,275

+640

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

17%

83%

$41,275 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

10%

90%

$10,338 Vol

Live

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

94%

6%

$9,832 Vol

6:30AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

99%

1%

$9,440 Vol

6:30AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

100%

0%

$11,148 Vol

7:00AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

100%

0%

$6,507 Vol

7:00AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

98%

2%

$3,858 Vol

7:00AM

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

92%

8%

$3,570 Vol

8:10AM

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

99%

1%

$6,666 Vol

8:10AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

7%

No migration in 2026

87%

Arbitrum

3%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

28%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

$30B

17%

$35B

16%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$1.7M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

—%

Tempo

—%

Hyperliquid

—%

Starknet

—%

Aptos

—%

Optimism

—%

Sui

—%

BNB Chain

—%

Solana

—%

Monad

4%

MegaETH

—%

Base

—%

Avalanche

—%

Arbitrum

—%

$3,837 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Flames vs. Golden Knights

Yield

1%

99%

$37,873 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

$10.4M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 16?

Yield

28°C or below

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

95%

34°C

4%

35°C

1%

36°C

1%

37°C

1%

38°C or higher

—%

$4,870 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 16?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

10%

31°C

53%

32°C

18%

33°C

—%

34°C

1%

35°C

1%

36°C or higher

—%

$3,349 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 16?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

—%

20°C

4%

21°C

2%

22°C

50%

23°C

29%

24°C

8%

25°C

2%

26°C

1%

27°C or higher

1%

$6,746 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 16?

Yield

16°C or below

1%

17°C

1%

18°C

—%

19°C

4%

20°C

25%

21°C

49%

22°C

21%

23°C

2%

24°C

2%

25°C

—%

26°C or higher

1%

$2,749 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 16?

Yield

19°C or below

—%

20°C

—%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

15%

24°C

18%

25°C

8%

26°C

2%

27°C

1%

28°C

—%

29°C or higher

—%

$4,773 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

Yield

23°C or below

—%

24°C

—%

25°C

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

40%

30°C

51%

31°C

4%

32°C

1%

33°C or higher

1%

$3,138 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 16?

Yield

19°C or below

—%

20°C

—%

21°C

—%

22°C

—%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

93%

26°C

8%

27°C

3%

28°C

2%

29°C or higher

1%

$5,573 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

16%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

84%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$1.9M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

51%

49%

+4.1K

$971K Vol

Oct 16 @ 4:00AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

XE

95%

IVO

5%

KINETI

15%

XCTN

85%

OFFCHO

12%

GZ1

88%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

HANG SENG INDEX (恒生指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

99%

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

92%

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

98%

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

100%

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

100%

Hot Topics

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 51%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 79%

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

3%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 26%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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