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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,599.65

Current Price

$81,599.65

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker

77.9%

Stephen A. Smith

77.5%

Raphael Warnock

77.2%

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%Chance▲ 2.00%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

BFX

69%

Oct 17, 2026

9:00AM

WE

31%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

27%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,599.65

Current Price

$81,599.65

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,599.65

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,599.65

Total Vol $8,745

+110

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,058,200

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,047,993

+950

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker

77.9%

Stephen A. Smith

77.5%

Raphael Warnock

77.2%

Oprah Winfrey

30%

Total Vol $2,282,332

+440

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Politics • Trump

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%Chance▲ 2.00%

Total Vol $441,151

+330

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

BFX

69%-31%

WE

Total Vol $153,187

+470

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,318,489

+4.6K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Finance • IPO

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

27%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

$30B

17%

Total Vol $1,867,541

+410

Ends Jan 1, 2028

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,599.65

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,599.65

Total Vol $8,745

+110

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

29%

71%

$4,323 Vol

Live

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

7%

No migration in 2026

89%

Arbitrum

3%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

27%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

$30B

17%

$35B

15%

$40B

11%

$50B

9%

$1.9M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

—%

Hyperliquid

—%

Arbitrum

—%

Tempo

—%

Starknet

—%

Aptos

—%

Optimism

—%

Sui

—%

BNB Chain

—%

Solana

—%

Monad

3%

MegaETH

—%

Base

—%

Avalanche

—%

$3,837 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

78%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

23%

$10.4M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 17?

Yield

23°C or below

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

99%

29°C

2%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

—%

33°C or higher

—%

$7,997 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 17?

Yield

28°C or below

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

—%

31°C

—%

32°C

1%

33°C

2%

34°C

98%

35°C

2%

36°C

1%

37°C

1%

38°C or higher

1%

$5,515 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 17?

Yield

19°C or below

3%

20°C

—%

21°C

—%

22°C

1%

23°C

84%

24°C

31%

25°C

1%

26°C

2%

27°C

1%

28°C

5%

29°C or higher

—%

$6,870 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?

Yield

24°C or below

—%

25°C

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

20%

29°C

30%

30°C

2%

31°C

2%

32°C

3%

33°C

1%

34°C or higher

—%

$4,560 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 17?

Yield

19°C or below

5%

20°C

—%

21°C

—%

22°C

2%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

96%

26°C

35%

27°C

2%

28°C

2%

29°C or higher

1%

$6,648 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 17?

Yield

26°C or below

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

—%

29°C

—%

30°C

3%

31°C

88%

32°C

12%

33°C

4%

34°C

1%

35°C

1%

36°C or higher

1%

$4,371 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 17?

Yield

10°C or below

—%

11°C

—%

12°C

—%

13°C

1%

14°C

1%

15°C

10%

16°C

58%

17°C

31%

18°C

—%

19°C

1%

20°C or higher

1%

$3,451 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

14%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

87%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

33%

Bilibili Gaming

20%

Hanwha Life Esports

19%

T1

18%

Dplus KIA

7%

Anyone's Legend

6%

G2 Esports

5%

Team Liquid

3%

Invictus Gaming

3%

Top Esports

2%

Karmine Corp

2%

Cloud9

1%

Movistar KOI

1%

MVK Esports

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

$107K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

9%

June 30, 2027

16%

December 31, 2027

34%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Which blockchains will shut down before 2028?

Yield

Boba Network

18%

Taiko

16%

zkSync

15%

Zora

15%

Scroll

15%

Arbitrum Nova

9%

Polygon

6%

$50,426 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

40%

60%

$65,250 Vol

6:00PM

Honor of Kings: Team Secret vs FPT Polytechnic (BO5) - Arena of Glory Group Stage 2

Yield

-

-

$0 Vol

Live

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

Yield

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

25%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

6%

LCS (North America)

2%

CBLOL (Brazil)

1%

LCP (Asia-Pacific)

1%

$267K Vol

Dec 30 @ 3:15PM

NFL Champion 2027

Yield

San Francisco 49ers

13%

Buffalo Bills

12%

Los Angeles Rams

11%

Kansas City Chiefs

10%

Baltimore Ravens

8%

Seattle Seahawks

8%

Jacksonville Jaguars

7%

Detroit Lions

5%

New England Patriots

4%

Cincinnati Bengals

4%

Denver Broncos

4%

Chicago Bears

4%

Minnesota Vikings

4%

Dallas Cowboys

3%

Atlanta Falcons

3%

Green Bay Packers

2%

Houston Texans

2%

Philadelphia Eagles

2%

Miami Dolphins

1%

Los Angeles Chargers

1%

Las Vegas Raiders

1%

Carolina Panthers

1%

Indianapolis Colts

1%

Cleveland Browns

1%

Arizona Cardinals

1%

Washington Commanders

1%

Tennessee Titans

1%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1%

Pittsburgh Steelers

1%

New York Jets

1%

New Orleans Saints

1%

New York Giants

1%

$7.9M Vol

Feb 14, 2027 @ 11:55PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

Team Secret

FPT Polytechnic

OFFCHO

77%

RSTR

23%

XTREME

99%

YB1

1%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Highest temperature in Paris on October 17?

16°C

58%

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 17?

31°C

88%

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 17?

25°C

96%

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 17?

29°C

30%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 17?

28°C

99%

Hot Topics

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 97%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Cory Booker 77.9%

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

CHE 43%

Fed Decision in October?

No change 87%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

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