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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,490.01

Current Price

$82,490.01

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

13%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$16B

4%

$18B

3%

$20B

2%

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

28%

$20B

24%

$25B

22%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,490.01

Current Price

$82,490.01

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,490.01

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,490.01

Total Vol $37,881

+690

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,070,796

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

13%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,106,121

+1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Global

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Total Vol $3,717,816

+600

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Finance • IPO

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$16B

4%

$18B

3%

$20B

2%

$22B

2%

Total Vol $953,579

+360

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Finance • IPO

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B

28%

$20B

24%

$25B

22%

$30B

18%

Total Vol $2,142,584

+420

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Esports • LoL

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

LCS (North America)

2%

Total Vol $473,070

+400

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,528,861

+4.7K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,490.01

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,490.01

Total Vol $37,881

+690

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

2%

98%

$37,881 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

1%

99%

$9,391 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

20%

$10.6M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 19, 2026?

Yield

17%

83%

$10,039 Vol

6:30AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 19, 2026?

Yield

57%

43%

$7,630 Vol

6:30AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 19, 2026?

Yield

7%

93%

$16,135 Vol

7:00AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 19, 2026?

Yield

97%

3%

$9,613 Vol

7:00AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 19, 2026?

Yield

34%

66%

$15,719 Vol

7:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

6%

No migration in 2026

89%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

28%

$20B

24%

$25B

22%

$30B

18%

$35B

15%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.1M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Hurricanes vs. Flames

Yield

60%

40%

$13,349 Vol

Live

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

Yield

21°C or below

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

43%

27°C

16%

28°C

6%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C or higher

—%

$3,888 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?

Yield

19°C or below

—%

20°C

—%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

39%

25°C

45%

26°C

8%

27°C

3%

28°C

1%

29°C or higher

1%

$3,764 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?

Yield

9°C or below

1%

10°C

2%

11°C

1%

12°C

2%

13°C

5%

14°C

22%

15°C

44%

16°C

25%

17°C

8%

18°C

1%

19°C or higher

1%

$3,866 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?

Yield

12°C or below

—%

13°C

—%

14°C

—%

15°C

1%

16°C

19%

17°C

52%

18°C

38%

19°C

8%

20°C

2%

21°C

1%

22°C or higher

2%

$2,929 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?

Yield

27°C or below

2%

28°C

2%

29°C

1%

30°C

3%

31°C

7%

32°C

50%

33°C

44%

34°C

4%

35°C

10%

36°C

—%

37°C or higher

—%

$1,890 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

3%

30°C

9%

31°C

49%

32°C

41%

33°C

5%

34°C

—%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$1,496 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?

Yield

29°C or below

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

3%

33°C

13%

34°C

48%

35°C

33%

36°C

5%

37°C

1%

38°C

1%

39°C or higher

1%

$2,789 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

13%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.1M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

31%

Hanwha Life Esports

21%

Bilibili Gaming

19%

T1

17%

Anyone's Legend

7%

Dplus KIA

6%

G2 Esports

4%

Team Liquid

2%

Invictus Gaming

2%

Top Esports

2%

Karmine Corp

2%

Movistar KOI

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

$164K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

9%

June 30, 2027

16%

December 31, 2027

33%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

CTRLES

50%

EFA1

50%

CW1

54%

PRE

46%

NHL

Hurricanes

60%

Flames

40%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?

32°C

50%

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?

17°C

52%

Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?

15°C

44%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?

25°C

45%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

26°C

43%

Hot Topics

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$15B 28%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 70%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 3%

Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$16B 4%

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

No migration in 2026 89%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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