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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,716.68

Current Price

$82,716.68

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

16%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Buffalo Bills

11%

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price

$81,161.11

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,716.68

Current Price

$82,716.68

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,716.68

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,716.68

Total Vol $24,079

+450

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $12,072,423

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,110,159

+1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Politics • Global

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

3%Chance▲ 2.00%

Total Vol $3,718,004

+590

Ends Jan 1, 2027

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers

16%

Kansas City Chiefs

11%

Buffalo Bills

11%

Baltimore Ravens

9%

Total Vol $8,414,320

+790

Ends Feb 14, 2027

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$81,161.11

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,161.11

Total Vol $111,851

+350

Esports • LoL

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

LCS (North America)

2%

Total Vol $483,359

+420

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

2%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $22,529,121

+4.7K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$82,716.68

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$82,716.68

Total Vol $24,079

+450

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

80%

20%

$24,079 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

61%

39%

$2,351 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

$10.6M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

6%

No migration in 2026

90%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12.1M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

28%

$20B

23%

$25B

21%

$30B

17%

$35B

14%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 19?

Yield

21°C or below

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C

1%

27°C

99%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C or higher

—%

$4,716 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 19?

Yield

19°C or below

3%

20°C

—%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

2%

24°C

1%

25°C

97%

26°C

4%

27°C

2%

28°C

1%

29°C or higher

1%

$11,581 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?

Yield

9°C or below

1%

10°C

1%

11°C

1%

12°C

2%

13°C

7%

14°C

33%

15°C

50%

16°C

9%

17°C

2%

18°C

1%

19°C or higher

1%

$4,456 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?

Yield

12°C or below

—%

13°C

—%

14°C

—%

15°C

1%

16°C

1%

17°C

99%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

2%

21°C

1%

22°C or higher

3%

$3,998 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 19?

Yield

27°C or below

3%

28°C

3%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

97%

33°C

4%

34°C

1%

35°C

10%

36°C

—%

37°C or higher

—%

$3,352 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?

Yield

26°C or below

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

2%

31°C

99%

32°C

2%

33°C

2%

34°C

1%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$2,611 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?

Yield

29°C or below

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

1%

35°C

99%

36°C

1%

37°C

1%

38°C

1%

39°C or higher

1%

$3,982 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.1M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 20 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$1,568 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

53%

47%

$121 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

Yield

0%

100%

$0 Vol

Oct 20 @ 1:30AM

Worlds 2026: Winner

Yield

Gen.G

31%

Hanwha Life Esports

21%

Bilibili Gaming

19%

T1

16%

Dplus KIA

7%

Anyone's Legend

6%

G2 Esports

4%

Invictus Gaming

3%

Team Liquid

2%

Top Esports

2%

Movistar KOI

1%

CTBC Flying Oyster

1%

Team Secret Whales

1%

Karmine Corp

1%

$202K Vol

Nov 29 @ 4:59AM

Polymarket IPO by _?

Yield

December 31, 2026

2%

March 31, 2027

9%

June 30, 2027

13%

December 31, 2027

33%

$5.8M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

Yield

LCK (South Korea)

70%

LPL (China)

24%

LEC (Europe / EMEA)

5%

LCS (North America)

2%

CBLOL (Brazil)

1%

LCP (Asia-Pacific)

1%

$483K Vol

Dec 30 @ 3:15PM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

G1

35%

FORZER

65%

WRAITH

58%

ILL4

42%

CW1

48%

PRE

52%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

50%

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

—%

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 20, 2026?

—%

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?

35°C

99%

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 19?

31°C

99%

Hot Topics

Ligue 1: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 84%

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 70%

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 3%

NFL Champion 2027

San Francisco 49ers 16%

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs 22%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

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