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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,986.13

Current Price

$81,986.13

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

68%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

24%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

81%

Real Madrid

15%

Atlético Madrid

2%

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$84,515.75

Current Price

$84,515.75

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

76%

Lamine Yamal

19%

Erling Haaland

6%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,986.13

Current Price

$81,986.13

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,986.13

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,986.13

Total Vol $40,628

+680

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

68%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

24%

Republicans Sweep

7%

Total Vol $12,258,033

+2K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $2,303,783

+1.1K

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Sports • Soccer

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

81%

Real Madrid

15%

Atlético Madrid

2%

Málaga

1%

Total Vol $12,970,157

+5K

Ends May 30, 2027

Politics • Global

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

Total Vol $11,060,989

+790

Ends Oct 26, 2026

BTC Up or Down 1d

Price to Beat

$84,515.75

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$84,515.75

Total Vol $98,578

+380

Sports • Soccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane

76%

Lamine Yamal

19%

Erling Haaland

6%

Kylian Mbappé

5%

Total Vol $1,866,014

+1.7K

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Politics • Economy

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

97%

1 (25 bps)

3%

2 (50 bps)

1%

3 (75 bps)

1%

Total Vol $23,015,133

+4.8K

Ends Jan 1, 2027

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,986.13

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,986.13

Total Vol $40,628

+680

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

66%

34%

$40,628 Vol

Live

CL Up or Down 15m

Yield

2%

98%

$66.35 Vol

Live

XAU Up or Down 15m

Yield

2%

98%

$1,109 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

17%

83%

$11,405 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

22%

$11.1M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Yield

42%

58%

$24,716 Vol

11:00PM

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Yield

26%

74%

$5,998 Vol

Oct 23 @ 1:30AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

5%

No migration in 2026

94%

Arbitrum

2%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$20.3M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

68%

D Senate, R House

1%

R Senate, D House

24%

Republicans Sweep

7%

Other

1%

$12.3M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Yield

94%

6%

$9,814 Vol

Live

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

25%

$20B

26%

$25B

23%

$30B

18%

$35B

15%

$40B

12%

$50B

9%

$2.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Yield

Harry Kane

76%

Lamine Yamal

19%

Erling Haaland

6%

Kylian Mbappé

5%

Lautaro Martinez

5%

Luis Diaz

5%

Bruno Fernandes

5%

Achraf Hakimi

5%

Lionel Messi

3%

Michael Olise

3%

Vinícius Júnior

2%

Jude Bellingham

2%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

1%

Rodri

1%

Vitinha

0.2%

Declan Rice

0.2%

$1.9M Vol

Oct 30 @ 11:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 22?

Yield

9°C or below

1%

10°C

—%

11°C

1%

12°C

1%

13°C

1%

14°C

99%

15°C

1%

16°C

1%

17°C

1%

18°C

1%

19°C or higher

1%

$1,709 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 22?

Yield

10°C or below

1%

11°C

—%

12°C

4%

13°C

1%

14°C

2%

15°C

40%

16°C

41%

17°C

4%

18°C

1%

19°C

—%

20°C or higher

4%

$1,767 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?

Yield

26°C or below

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

100%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

1%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$1,289 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 22?

Yield

19°C or below

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

3%

26°C

99%

27°C

4%

28°C

1%

29°C or higher

1%

$881 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 22?

Yield

25°C or below

1%

26°C

—%

27°C

—%

28°C

1%

29°C

1%

30°C

1%

31°C

99%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

1%

35°C or higher

1%

$2,491 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?

Yield

16°C or below

1%

17°C

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

1%

22°C

99%

23°C

2%

24°C

1%

25°C

1%

26°C or higher

1%

$1,878 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 22?

Yield

19°C or below

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

1%

22°C

1%

23°C

1%

24°C

1%

25°C

97%

26°C

—%

27°C

2%

28°C

1%

29°C or higher

1%

$1,606 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

12%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

88%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$2.3M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 23, 2026?

Yield

56%

44%

$959 Vol

Oct 23 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 23, 2026?

Yield

53%

47%

$2,931 Vol

Oct 23 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 23, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$1,073 Vol

Oct 23 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 23, 2026?

Yield

37%

63%

$1,390 Vol

Oct 23 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 23, 2026?

Yield

57%

43%

$1,474 Vol

Oct 23 @ 1:30AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

TS8

94%

LEGION1

6%

LGD NBW

52%

Hero JiuJing

BIG5

67%

MGLZ

33%

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 22?

25°C

97%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 22?

22°C

99%

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 22?

31°C

99%

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 22?

30°C

100%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 22?

26°C

99%

Hot Topics

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 81%

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 79%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 68%

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 30%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 76%

Predict the Worlds $250,000 in prizes

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Match Weekend lock five picks to win

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