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BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,044.31

Current Price

$81,044.31

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

26%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

74%

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

FUR

77%

Oct 15, 2026

11:00PM

MVK

23%

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

C9

33%

Oct 15, 2026

6:00PM

KC

67%

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

WE

93%

Oct 15, 2026

9:00AM

BRO

7%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

26%

Paris Saint-Germain

16%

Bayern Munich

15%

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

80%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

19%

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,044.31

Current Price

$81,044.31

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,044.31

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,044.31

Total Vol $43,092

+760

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Total Vol $11,991,642

+1.9K

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Economy • Fed

Fed Decision in October?

25 bps increase

26%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

74%

25 bps decrease

1%

Total Vol $1,831,105

+900

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

FUR

77%-23%

MVK

Total Vol $139,716

+2.3K

Ends Oct 16, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

C9

33%-67%

KC

Total Vol $226,907

+2.9K

Ends Oct 15, 2026

Esports • LoL

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

WE

93%-7%

Live

BRO

Total Vol $1,160,628

+1.2K

Ends Oct 15, 2026

Sports • Soccer

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

26%

Paris Saint-Germain

16%

Bayern Munich

15%

Arsenal

15%

Total Vol $2,475,494

+710

Ends Jun 5, 2027

Politics • Global

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

80%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

19%

Total Vol $10,338,767

+680

Ends Oct 26, 2026

BTC Up or Down 5m

Price to Beat

$81,044.31

Current Price▲ 0.00%

$81,044.31

Total Vol $43,092

+760

BTC Up or Down 5m

Yield

12%

88%

$43,092 Vol

Live

BTC Up or Down 15m

Yield

44%

56%

$3,910 Vol

Live

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

77%

23%

$140K Vol

11:00PM

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Yield

93%

7%

$1.2M Vol

Live

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Yield

33%

67%

$227K Vol

6:00PM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Yield

New Polymarket chain

8%

No migration in 2026

88%

Arbitrum

3%

Avalanche

1%

Base

1%

MegaETH

1%

Monad

1%

Solana

1%

BNB Chain

1%

Sui

1%

Optimism

1%

Aptos

1%

Starknet

1%

Hyperliquid

1%

Tempo

1%

Other blockchain

1%

$19.9M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

63%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

28%

Republicans Sweep

9%

Other

1%

$12M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Polymarket IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yield

$15B

30%

$20B

24%

$25B

21%

$30B

19%

$35B

17%

$40B

13%

$50B

9%

$1.7M Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

Yield

Tempo

—%

Hyperliquid

—%

Starknet

—%

Optimism

—%

Sui

—%

BNB Chain

—%

Solana

—%

Base

—%

Aptos

—%

Monad

—%

MegaETH

—%

Avalanche

—%

Arbitrum

—%

New Polymarket chain

—%

$0 Vol

Jan 1, 2028 @ 5:00AM

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Yield

100%

0%

$43,329 Vol

Live

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Flávio Bolsonaro

80%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

19%

$10.3M Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

Yield

23°C or below

11%

24°C

—%

25°C

—%

26°C

1%

27°C

4%

28°C

2%

29°C

99%

30°C

2%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C or higher

4%

$9,078 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 15?

Yield

25°C or below

—%

26°C

—%

27°C

1%

28°C

6%

29°C

2%

30°C

99%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

1%

35°C or higher

—%

$11,463 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Paris on October 15?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

1%

19°C

2%

20°C

1%

21°C

4%

22°C

5%

23°C

35%

24°C

44%

25°C

12%

26°C

3%

27°C or higher

1%

$8,539 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 15?

Yield

17°C or below

—%

18°C

—%

19°C

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

54%

22°C

99%

23°C

2%

24°C

1%

25°C

2%

26°C

2%

27°C or higher

—%

$10,954 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 15?

Yield

19°C or below

—%

20°C

1%

21°C

1%

22°C

3%

23°C

1%

24°C

100%

25°C

2%

26°C

1%

27°C

1%

28°C

1%

29°C or higher

1%

$11,254 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?

Yield

15°C or below

—%

16°C

—%

17°C

1%

18°C

1%

19°C

1%

20°C

1%

21°C

99%

22°C

1%

23°C

4%

24°C

1%

25°C or higher

—%

$10,966 Vol

12:00PM

Highest temperature in Taipei on October 15?

Yield

26°C or below

1%

27°C

5%

28°C

4%

29°C

99%

30°C

1%

31°C

1%

32°C

1%

33°C

1%

34°C

—%

35°C

—%

36°C or higher

—%

$9,750 Vol

12:00PM

Fed Decision in October?

Yield

25 bps increase

26%

50+ bps decrease

1%

No change

74%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps increase

1%

$1.8M Vol

Oct 28 @ 11:59PM

SK Hynix Inc. Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

43%

57%

$2,080 Vol

Oct 16 @ 12:00AM

KOSPI Composite Index (韩股指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

44%

56%

$1,092 Vol

Oct 16 @ 12:00AM

CXMT (长鑫科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

54%

46%

$889 Vol

Oct 16 @ 1:30AM

UNITREE (宇树科技) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

51%

49%

$395 Vol

Oct 16 @ 1:30AM

SSE Composite Index (上证指数) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

59%

41%

$682 Vol

Oct 16 @ 1:30AM

SHEIN (希音) Up or Down on October 16, 2026?

Yield

50%

50%

$200 Vol

Oct 16 @ 1:30AM

Up to 30% Maker Rebate on even more markets

Games

Esports

WE

93%

BRO

7%

AUR1

100%

NIP

0%

AG Super Play

56%

EDward Gaming

Crypto Up/Down

BTC

ETH

BNB

New

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

AUR1

100%

What chain will Polymarket migrate to before 2028?

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

WE

93%

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 15?

21°C

99%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 15?

24°C

100%

Hot Topics

LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

WE 93%

Fed Decision in October?

No change 74%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 26%

LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

C9 33%

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 80%

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